Shadowy-Media
0xa3a7b3150f69fdfc3032aa5be3a4995c41570ce9
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
194
Open notional
$21.35
Total PnL
$-258.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 194- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.74
$0.37
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
3 shares @ 83.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.46
$0.37
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3 shares @ 89.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.24
$0.01
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
3 shares @ 77.2¢·now 78.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.97
$0.04
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$0.05
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.81
$0.03
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 29?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.25
$0.20
- NO
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.22
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 29?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.08
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 29?$1.06Jul 28, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 29?$1.14Jul 28, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2.00Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.10Jul 28, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMLiberec: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva$1.59Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva$1.04Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena$1.06Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$2.00Jul 28, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclin$1.14Jul 25, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys$1.04Jul 25, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by July 24?$2.00Jul 25, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$1.03Jul 24, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.25Jul 24, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.06Jul 23, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin FC win on 2026-07-22?$1.36Jul 23, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$1.76Jul 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.46Jul 22, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMHamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa$1.70Jul 22, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$2.10Jul 22, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$2.05Jul 22, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.