Crowded-Blame
0xa3ae2a942b06aef3e31448b57dcddc1be5bbd665
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$48.51
Total PnL
$-1.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$37.04
$36.04
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 28.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.40
$2.40
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
166 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.33
$-3.67
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?
681 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?$3.83Apr 25, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in April 2026?$3.00Apr 25, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in April 2026?$3.00Apr 25, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$4.00Apr 25, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping today?$1.00Apr 25, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?$6.00Apr 25, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 25, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 25, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.00Apr 25, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.00Apr 25, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?$1.00Apr 25, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?$1.00Apr 25, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$1.00Apr 25, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$1.00Apr 25, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.00Apr 25, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Apr 25, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 25, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 25, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.