Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?
Probability
8¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$11.11
Liquidity
$13.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 113.1h
- 06:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 113h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 8¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 8¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 7¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 8¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 7¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 7¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 7¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 7¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between April 1, and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).