Livid-Menu
0xa409c31348e4a92fc0d5ebafe3791ec92d7082bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$246.98
Total PnL
$-620.13
Realised
$-7.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
67 shares @ 60.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$56.00
$16.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
66 shares @ 75.6¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.72
$5.72
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
33 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
741 shares @ 2.7¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.89
$8.89
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
40 shares @ 75.5¢·now 72.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$28.87
$-1.13
- YES
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?
27 shares @ 72.8¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$18.27
$-1.73
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 83.4¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.81
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
502 shares @ 59.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.32Jun 1, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.58Jun 1, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$10.12Jun 1, 07:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$28.41May 31, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.95May 31, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$20.58May 31, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$13.79May 31, 14:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$102.70May 30, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$102.81May 30, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$102.92May 30, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$181.25May 30, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$103.89May 30, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$103.92May 30, 20:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$40.64May 29, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMAndorra vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score$29.41May 29, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$30.22May 29, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $40.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".