Queasy-Cougar
0xa4b366ad22fc0d06f1e934ff468e8922431a87b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$190.3K
Total PnL
$-621.87
Realised
$-268.36
Win rate
58%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
180000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$153.4K
$63.5K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
180000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.6K
$-63.5K
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
2338 shares @ 89.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.3K
$223.04
- NO
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2228 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$6.57
- NO
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
1206 shares @ 88.3¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$90.68
- NO
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
844 shares @ 87.7¢·now 85.7¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$722.95
$-17.23
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
500 shares @ 4.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$480.75
$459.01
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
464 shares @ 79.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$461.02
$91.09
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
495 shares @ 66.8¢·now 78.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$389.81
$58.88
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
341 shares @ 92.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$338.92
$22.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.06Jun 14, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$304.48Jun 14, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$25.82Jun 14, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$15.89Jun 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$9.93Jun 14, 04:31 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0KJun 14, 00:36 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.39Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$150.76Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$21.71Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$112.41Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$6.59Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$96.86Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$55.77Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$7.20Jun 14, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$155.39Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$15.99Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$36.39Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$9.47Jun 13, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$3.85Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$2.82Jun 13, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $30.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 10:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.