Impressive-Credenza
0xa4bd8f49695cf5d55924aca4cc2694952874e8a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$219.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$800.81
Win rate
98%
176 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 57.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$63.98
$16.62
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
60 shares @ 43.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$59.85
$33.80
- NO
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$30.00
$1.49
- YES
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
60 shares @ 41.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$26.10
$1.20
- YES
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
60 shares @ 51.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.90
$-11.70
- NO
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$17.10
$2.09
- YES
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
60 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.65
$-3.17
- YES
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
60 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.28
$-2.32
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
30 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.10
$-3.95
- YES
Will Sandy Nurse be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
52 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.03
$-8.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$30.00Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$30.00Jun 4, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$30.01Jun 4, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$30.01Jun 4, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$30.00Jun 4, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Hak-jae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.00Jun 4, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$30.01Jun 4, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-sung win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$16.82Jun 4, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$30.00Jun 4, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?$30.36May 31, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$30.00May 28, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?$30.00May 27, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$7.92May 24, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$29.54May 24, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$30.00May 24, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $500M one day after launch?$8.51May 21, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?$27.00May 21, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$30.01May 17, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$30.00May 17, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$30.00May 17, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 176 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.