Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein?
Probability
19¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-9.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1566.8h
- 17:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 19¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 18¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 20¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 18¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual provides testimony about Jeffrey Epstein before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying testimony may be either live or recorded, in-person or remote, and closed or open to the public. A primary focus of the testimony must be information related to Jeffrey Epstein, including but not limited to the listed individuals’ relationship with Epstein, their appearance in Epstein-related files released by the federal government, their involvement in previous Epstein investigations or criminal proceedings, or their general knowledge of Epstein and his life. Limited references to Epstein in an otherwise unrelated congressional testimony will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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