Sticky-Decimal
0xa53dc4e97ca972f3ca31e909aa3347f8649f0cc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$568.68
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
187 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$166.39
$-5.61
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
108 shares @ 92.8¢·now 91.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$98.76
$-1.24
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1144 shares @ 8.7¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.33
$-29.66
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
39 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$38.51
$0.82
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.72
$4.72
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.20
$0.20
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.77
$-1.23
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
810 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-382.00
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
752 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$319.69Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$316.30Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 8?$110.11Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$100.00Jun 8, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$10.00Jun 8, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$10.57Jun 8, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$10.99Jun 8, 09:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?$4.08Jun 3, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$20.22Jun 3, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $37.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.