Determined-Emanate
0xa53efb50115848d114b6203dd2ae664bee2193e6
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.71
Total PnL
$-204.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
235 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.71
$-7.29
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
78970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-78.97
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
23078 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-76.76
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
16760 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-33.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 3?
625 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$10.4810h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.002d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET$1.062d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.062d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$5.352d ago
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$33.526d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 3?$7.497d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$11.7810d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$8.3010d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.0011d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.8712d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.8812d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$7.4913d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$7.4813d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 24?$0.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 24?$11.5116d ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 24?$12.1516d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 24?$28.5016d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 27d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
