Helpful-Reinscription
0xa560075072f9ead66e81a87aa4fd1b8bd4daa2a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$20.66
Total PnL
$-72.90
Realised
$-1.85
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.35
$0.95
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
6 shares @ 62.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.67
$1.67
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?
30 shares @ 16.0¢·now 18.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$0.70
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.61
$0.61
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?
153 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
35 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$14.08Jul 25, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.08Jul 14, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.23Jul 14, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1.64Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$10.00Jul 8, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$2.00Jul 8, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1.01Jul 8, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$2.03Jul 8, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Javier Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.80Jul 7, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$2.05Jul 6, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$10.42Jun 25, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$5.08Jun 24, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?$1.03Jun 23, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.50Jun 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.66Jun 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.50Jun 17, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54Jun 17, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.87Jun 17, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Javier Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.76Jun 17, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$4.99Jun 17, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.