Judicious-Philanthropy
0xa5aa5b76f335a3477093140d74dc3abe6c161be0
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
299 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?
49 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$5.13Jun 4, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$5.62May 23, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump dance on May 13, 2026?$0.00May 15, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?$12.00May 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?$1.00May 15, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "North Korea" this week?$10.87May 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia$0.09May 11, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "North Korea" this week?$5.11May 11, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$5.02May 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia$5.13May 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 13, 2026?$5.18May 11, 06:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $4.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 17:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.