Meaty-Analgesia
0xa5de0554ea5c02e99e0a12febdea93bb9cc13ffc
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$12.10
Total PnL
$-579.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
110 shares @ 9.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.10
$2.20
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.81
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
600 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.60
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
510 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.74
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
480 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-179.60
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
320 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-99.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.11Jul 9, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$99.20May 19, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.60May 19, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$10.26May 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $2.62May 12, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.59May 12, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$48.00May 12, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$114.00May 12, 05:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $27.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.