Gullible-Store
0xa5ebd9d4811110060147ee021b1cd9511fadf8b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$121.58
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
0%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 15?
111 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$111.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.46
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12?
1153 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-305.92
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28?
765 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-202.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11?
761 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-194.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 16?
685 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-180.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
665 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16?
640 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-169.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
565 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-145.75
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 15?$111.01Aug 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In$3.80Aug 14, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 July 6-12?$114.11Aug 14, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 July 6-12?$114.01Jul 10, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$8.03Jul 3, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?$122.12Jul 3, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?$122.00Jun 30, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$7.11Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$8.33Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$107.26Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$107.15Jun 1, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$3.06Jun 1, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$110.22Jun 1, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$110.12May 31, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$7.10May 31, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$117.20May 31, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$116.75May 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$115.88May 30, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$116.00May 30, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 28?$14.21May 30, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $88.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.