Gullible-Store
0xa5ebd9d4811110060147ee021b1cd9511fadf8b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$10.45
Total PnL
$-78.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.45
$-0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12?
1153 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28?
765 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11?
761 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 16?
685 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
665 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16?
640 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
565 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 12?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$8.03Jul 3, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?$122.12Jul 3, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?$122.00Jun 30, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$7.11Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$8.33Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$107.26Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$107.15Jun 1, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$3.06Jun 1, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$110.22Jun 1, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$110.12May 31, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$7.10May 31, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$117.20May 31, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$116.75May 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$115.88May 30, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$116.00May 30, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 28?$14.21May 30, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$102.66May 30, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$102.56May 29, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$10.47May 29, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$113.04May 29, 04:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $89.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.