Gregarious-Climate
0xa65ba6a276ab04da002302be21d0ea5820f443b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$414.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1723 shares @ 66.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$270.26
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1345 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$115.65
- NO
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
244 shares @ 40.9¢·now 52.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$128.21
$28.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$178.57May 10, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$102.36May 7, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$150.00Apr 12, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.K. join the Board of Peace?$0.00Apr 10, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.K. join the Board of Peace?$703.27Apr 10, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$0.00Apr 10, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?$9.00Jan 25, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.K. join the Board of Peace?$586.45Jan 23, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.2KJan 22, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.1KJan 21, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $523.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".