Few-Poppy
0xa684e6a0913bd5f9d038d012e27e95f20c35a33f
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$103.8K
Total PnL
$3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
61000 shares @ 82.3¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$52.2K
$2.0K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
25000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.9K
$1.1K
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
15073 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.0K
$193.53
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$-25.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
4140 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.0K
$44.53
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.4K
$133.75
- NO
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$7.50
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1153 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$-1.14
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
331 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$302.79
$11.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$6.71Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$6.73Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$12.94Jul 23, 05:43 UTC
- YIELD$6.71Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$6.71Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$6.96Jul 21, 08:37 UTC
- YIELD$6.66Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$135.61Jul 20, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$136.19Jul 20, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$1.0KJul 20, 04:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.37Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$6.65Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$990.00Jul 19, 22:08 UTC
- YIELD$6.68Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$24.93Jul 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$287.91Jul 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$398.40Jul 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$298.80Jul 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$149.40Jul 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?$26.36Jul 18, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $488.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.