Pale-Shallot
0xa6855e64c7b31e21b7c10c947c80a438c2c8c35a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$148.61
Total PnL
$-81.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$60.24
$10.24
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.62
$-27.38
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
24 shares @ 41.6¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.85
$2.85
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.16
$0.16
- YES
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.44
$-13.56
- YES
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.80
$-4.20
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
49 shares @ 20.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.64
$-4.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $10.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 22:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.