Optimistic-Stallion
0xa68f74351a20c3ace6834f1ea7de92c0555e29e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$24.14
Total PnL
$-57.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.33
$-0.02
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.92
$0.07
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 75.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.78
$-1.00
- NO
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.70
$0.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$3.58
$-0.17
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
7 shares @ 47.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.64
$-0.67
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.58
$0.03
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.62
$-1.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 19?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
12 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMinnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5$1.30Jul 22, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5$2.36Jul 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5$1.30Jul 22, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5$2.31Jul 22, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.55Jul 22, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 22?$4.48Jul 22, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$3.85Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$2.12Jul 22, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.99Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.54Jul 22, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLLivesport Prague Open: Maya Joint vs Tereza Valentova$4.48Jul 22, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Maya Joint vs Tereza Valentova$2.01Jul 22, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winner$4.53Jul 22, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$0.72Jul 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 23?$3.80Jul 22, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$0.31Jul 22, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$1.30Jul 22, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 1 Winner$1.25Jul 22, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Houston Astros$5.00Jul 22, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Houston Astros$3.60Jul 22, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.