0xa79f421c6e59a3c500b6edd7dca600ac152be030
0xa79f421c6e59a3c500b6edd7dca600ac152be030
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-63.95
Realised
$1.02
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
2481 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.91
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
1293 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.26May 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.06May 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.06May 14, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage$1.47May 14, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Galorys vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage$1.92May 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$2.28May 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Galorys vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage$1.01May 13, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage$1.81May 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage$1.52May 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage$1.88May 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Oldboys vs VP.Future 2 (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage$1.75May 13, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: KOLESIE vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs$3.14May 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Oldboys vs VP.Future 2 (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage$1.15May 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLZagreb: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Thanasi Kokkinakis$0.16May 13, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: KOLESIE vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs$1.84May 13, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLZagreb: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Thanasi Kokkinakis$1.33May 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs SINQU (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C$1.03May 13, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLCordoba: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Renzo Olivo$0.31May 12, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLCordoba: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Renzo Olivo$1.25May 12, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?$1.05May 12, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.