Well-To-Do-Biology
0xa7a96c321bb91dfafd5b781cc13030a4a29e42b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.72
Total PnL
$-14.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.72
$-0.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
6 shares @ 81.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.03Jun 17, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$7.14May 29, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.10May 29, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.32May 26, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.32May 26, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.42May 26, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.43May 26, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.26May 26, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.96May 26, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.16May 22, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.16May 19, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.02May 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.00May 15, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.00May 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.00May 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.00May 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.00May 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.00May 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.01May 15, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.