Determined-Archrival
0xa7c3ab0a4201435e2e4386cbd5f71b762b663a41
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$327.93
Total PnL
$-328.37
Realised
$36.49
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
56 shares @ 48.2¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.88
$6.88
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
129 shares @ 39.6¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$27.67
$-23.33
- NO
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
43 shares @ 51.4¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.54
$1.54
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.34
$1.34
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$15.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
23 shares @ 64.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$14.18
$-0.82
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$13.38
$3.38
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 57.7¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.61
$1.61
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.12
$1.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Chair" on Truth Social this week?$10.21May 17, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$10.49May 17, 10:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$12.00May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$8.25May 16, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$4.14May 16, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 15, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$5.12May 15, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$6.06May 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$1.02May 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?$0.53May 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$4.10May 15, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13May 15, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13May 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.12May 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$7.31May 15, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$5.18May 15, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$10.20May 15, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$10.00May 15, 23:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".