Exhausted-Fort
0xa7c3ae8aeedffed20dfcc97fc56399cd71c8349a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$21.08
Total PnL
$-2.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
4 shares @ 56.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.54
$1.54
- YES
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
3 shares @ 38.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.62
$1.62
- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
2 shares @ 41.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.40
$1.40
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 26 - February 1 be less than 14,250,000?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.23
$0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 26 - February 1 be less than 14,250,000?$1.00Jan 29, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$1.00Jan 29, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 29, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party for the People win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Jan 29, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 29, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)$1.82Jan 29, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$1.96Jan 29, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?$2.00Jan 29, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$2.70Jan 29, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$1.00Dec 25, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Dec 25, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?$1.00Dec 25, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Dec 25, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.