0xa7ccdf4fee269ba6d0e5b6c0a4cef57954f4949e
0xa7ccdf4fee269ba6d0e5b6c0a4cef57954f4949e
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-65.71
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- CONNECTICUT SUN
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo
80 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-53.54
- ALYCIA PARKS
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks
60 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-38.50
- WINTHROP UNIVERSITY
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
60 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-40.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 4?
59 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- MARCOS GIRON
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron
59 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-17.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on April 4?
55 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- PCIFIC
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
50 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 4?
46 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 4?
45 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 4?
45 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$4.24Jul 4, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$0.00Jun 29, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 29, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?$0.00Jun 29, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00Jun 29, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00Jun 29, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.00Jun 29, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$0.00Jun 29, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.01Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.94Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.47Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$1.54Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?$1.11Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBoston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees$2.31Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$2.39Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?$2.75Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$2.55Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$0.56Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?$3.51Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?$3.87Jun 25, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.