Subtle-Stuff
0xa7cd5c457a51ec9064ed615f4217bcbdfbe47f1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$52.74
Total PnL
$-2.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 15?
54 shares @ 98.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$51.28
$-1.12
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
55 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.46
$-0.58
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
86 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 15?$36.29May 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 15?$16.15May 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.16May 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$2.13May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.11May 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.26May 13, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$108.02May 13, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$108.13May 12, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$3.94May 12, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$6.53May 12, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$2.65May 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$4.78May 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$2.65May 12, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$11.69May 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$86.69May 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$98.07May 12, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$107.78May 11, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$107.89May 11, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$18.49May 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$18.51May 11, 15:22 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $41.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".