Cold-Hay
0xa8c3baa7a95a0e998942cd54106c86a7c6a97dd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
32%
94 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
258 shares @ 84.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$233.56
$15.09
- NO
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
201 shares @ 56.1¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$190.06
$77.53
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
193 shares @ 80.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$174.10
$19.06
- NO
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
200 shares @ 62.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.07
$21.89
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
599 shares @ 70.6¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$138.64
$-284.44
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
162 shares @ 64.7¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$121.96
$17.40
- NO
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
103 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.91
$8.53
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 78.3¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.10
$8.82
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
59 shares @ 75.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.67
$4.13
- NO
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?
51 shares @ 75.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.45
$-3.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$0.41Jun 13, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$14.61May 22, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$40.54May 16, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?$0.51Apr 30, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0.65Apr 30, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.17Apr 29, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.96Apr 29, 21:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$1.02Apr 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$11.80Apr 27, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$4.99Apr 27, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?$20.97Apr 27, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$10.89Apr 24, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? $0.00Apr 24, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$63.42Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.71Apr 22, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$0.51Apr 22, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$2.54Apr 20, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$1.20Apr 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$1.19Apr 15, 14:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $17.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 94 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.