Pleasant-Pagan
0xa97947d462c97970be7868100d47442078191b33
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$249.28
Total PnL
$104.10
Realised
$138.03
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
75 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$75.00
$7.15
- YES
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
48 shares @ 81.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$48.00
$8.98
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
34 shares @ 35.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$34.00
$21.89
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
30 shares @ 88.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$29.70
$3.52
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
14 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.00
$5.04
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
9 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.00
$1.60
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?
6 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.00
$3.30
- YES
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
5 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$5.00
$0.63
- NO
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.00
$0.80
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$4.00
$0.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$10.32Jan 16, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?$3.60Jan 16, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$0.91Jan 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$0.65Jan 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$2.09Jan 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$0.95Jan 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$9.00Jan 16, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?$34.80Jan 16, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$0.90Jan 16, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$1.98Jan 16, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$10.32Jan 16, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$1.56Jan 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.99Jan 15, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?$5.36Jan 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$5.85Jan 15, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?$5.28Jan 15, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$9.10Jan 15, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$6.71Jan 15, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$3.05Jan 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?$2.82Jan 15, 23:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".