Grumpy-Pad
0xa9984f5fa30fd58d78f48e9d77e97e8bf9320443
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$106.70
Total PnL
$-140.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
379 shares @ 6.6¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.22
$3.22
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
600 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.00
$-3.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.25
$3.25
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.00
$-3.00
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
37 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.23
$-0.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
2721 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
156 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
105 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NATUS VINCERE
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$26.73May 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$26.31May 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$26.39May 22, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00May 22, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$26.40May 22, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$26.34May 21, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$83.34May 21, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$22.83May 21, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$40.01May 21, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$26.24May 21, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$73.52May 21, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$2.38May 21, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$26.58May 21, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$27.65May 21, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$26.47May 21, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$0.00May 21, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$19.29May 21, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.00May 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$41.84May 21, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$64.41May 21, 22:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $25.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".