Emotional-Glory
0xaa6776ee7a78faa870e629ecb77be344b798805d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$97.08
Total PnL
$-229.26
Realised
$8.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
104 shares @ 33.5¢·now 51.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.09
$19.09
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.80
$8.80
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.23
$0.23
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
30 shares @ 33.9¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.02
$-4.98
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.66
$-0.34
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.63
$-1.37
- YES
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.07
$-9.93
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.41Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6.33Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.61Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$13.51Jul 1, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$1.10Jul 1, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$10.34Jun 27, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$15.38Jun 27, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$16.39Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$9.80Jun 25, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?$14.29Jun 24, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$7.58Jun 24, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Portugal (-1.5)$14.49Jun 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.00Jun 23, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$6.08Jun 23, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$10.10Jun 23, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.