Welcome-Chip
0xaadccec80218f8e4a90448549acdcc3aa226d8ef
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$875.22
Total PnL
$502.50
Realised
$383.78
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
941 shares @ 47.1¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$588.39
$145.29
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
160 shares @ 72.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$140.01
$24.86
- YES
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?
249 shares @ 30.5¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.80
$-26.23
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
69 shares @ 49.2¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.71
$-1.16
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 38.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$22.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
60 shares @ 33.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.88
$-4.41
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
100 shares @ 14.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.50
$-5.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
115 shares @ 10.6¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.27
$-5.89
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.15
$-0.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.891h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.665h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.776h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2.666h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$105.606h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.897h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$25.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$0.7010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$2.3111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$5.8811h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$2.0411h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$0.5213h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$8.7515h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$11.4015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$16.151d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$0.391d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by May 31?$0.391d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$100.801d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$90.001d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$30.401d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $22.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
