Agreeable-Lard
0xab21823bd7e64967ceac026613e922b004814b87
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-553.73
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
1113 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$1.1K
$166.95
- YES
Will Melania say "Empower" or "Empowering" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?
611 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$611.00
$293.28
- HOWARD BISON
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks
605 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$605.00
$302.50
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
275 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$274.86
$0.17
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
783 shares @ 40.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$191.84
$-121.36
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
334 shares @ 74.2¢·now 44.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$149.80
$-98.03
- WESTERN CAROLINA CATAMOUNTS
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts
255 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$127.50
$5.10
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
103 shares @ 70.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$100.12
$28.02
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 76.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.73
$7.41
- YES
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
296 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$35.52
$-20.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$634.44Apr 12, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$86.52Apr 12, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$104.40Apr 12, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYClemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts$122.40Apr 12, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$216.24Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$104.40Apr 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5$352.50Apr 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5$325.71Apr 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$653.10Apr 12, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$586.50Apr 12, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$156.45Apr 12, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$469.04Apr 11, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$36.80Apr 11, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$16.75Apr 11, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$15.41Apr 11, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$14.74Apr 11, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$9.38Apr 11, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$9.38Apr 11, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$10.05Apr 11, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$9.38Apr 11, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $82.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".