Squiggly-Midcourse
0xab44d13609e371b1aba83bdf65898214e9b6a5b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$52.09
Total PnL
$-591.13
Realised
$30.14
Win rate
78%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12 shares @ 80.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.29
$2.35
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2590 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.06
$-3.88
- YES
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4255 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.38
$-23.40
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1343 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.04
$-13.60
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$4.96
$0.81
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.33
$-3.67
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.12
$-1.57
- YES
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
235 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-2.66
- YES
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
22 shares @ 5.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.46
$-0.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$13.61May 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$30.73May 14, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$9.26May 10, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$6.02May 6, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$6.69May 6, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$16.88Apr 20, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$5.00Apr 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.00Apr 19, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMHouthis successfully target shipping by April 15?$5.47Apr 16, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?$15.16Apr 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$13.27Apr 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$25.00Apr 15, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$45.80Apr 15, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?$5.26Apr 13, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$7.59Apr 12, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$16.90Apr 12, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.43Apr 11, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$8.00Apr 9, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 2.5% in March?$4.22Apr 9, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.54Apr 9, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.