Puzzling-Trim
0xab74d82cd69186895e7f4cd1c152682db63fb007
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$109.07
Total PnL
$-399.68
Realised
$10.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
82 shares @ 49.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$37.14
$-2.86
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$23.89
$3.89
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.84
$-2.16
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.25
$-7.75
- YES
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$10.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.44
$-4.56
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-7.50
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
251 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-112.27
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
160 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-103.95
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
71 shares @ 88.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-63.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $16.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.