Aware-Espadrille
0xab848fabfac319608174e5822d2f085eda16c7c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$214.79
Total PnL
$-55.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.86
$5.86
- NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
48 shares @ 62.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.49
$17.49
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
42 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$41.67
$11.67
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
37 shares @ 13.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$36.80
$31.80
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
33 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$32.97
$2.97
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
260 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
86 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
36 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
33 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$50.00Apr 19, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Apr 7, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$50.00Mar 2, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$20.00Mar 2, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$20.00Mar 2, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$30.00Mar 2, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$30.00Mar 2, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 25, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$30.00Feb 21, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?$30.00Feb 21, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $27.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.