Thrifty-Bonnet
0xabccc3f09783ef77eba2d31bcc4c658d09792fd5
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$213.39
Total PnL
$-58.05
Realised
$-6.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Rockets
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
26 shares @ 38.6¢·now 39.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 26.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
10 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
10 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
15 shares @ 65.3¢·now 65.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
11 shares @ 89.8¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$10.261h ago
- TRADESELLWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$3.461h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$10.211h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$10.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$10.002h ago
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$10.013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 3+ times in Michigan?$10.043h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "ICE" 3+ times in Michigan?$10.163h ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.003h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Military" at The Villages on May 1?$10.833h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Villages on May 1?$27.613h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$10.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$10.003h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.253h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?$10.029h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?$10.029h ago
- TRADEBUYJimmy Lai released by June 30?$10.019h ago
- TRADEBUYZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?$10.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$10.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?$10.2610h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $9.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".