Pertinent-Wren
0xac5eb9d822f68884f5abd56b9902dd76a5806f51
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$21.35
Total PnL
$-70.85
Realised
$-13.51
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- IAN MACHADO GARRY
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$4.90
$0.10
- YES
Will Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?
7 shares @ 29.8¢·now 29.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Avispa Fukuoka vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?$2.07Aug 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?$1.04Aug 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?$1.04Aug 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?$2.07Aug 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?$2.07Aug 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?$2.07Aug 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?$2.07Aug 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?$2.07Aug 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?$2.07Aug 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?$1.04Aug 13, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$4.98Aug 13, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$169.61Jul 12, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$114.77Jun 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.02Jun 10, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.00May 17, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.02May 10, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.66Apr 26, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$5.00Apr 26, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)$9.85Apr 24, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)$5.00Apr 10, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $7.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.