Irritating-Anxiety
0xac7439c8a5bad1fb63259fe5e709dab83566cc6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$145.89
Total PnL
$-2.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
35 shares @ 88.1¢·now 89.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$31.29
$0.44
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
15 shares @ 88.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$13.28
$0.03
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.85
$0.04
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.88
$-0.02
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.59
$0.09
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$-0.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
9 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.14
$-0.04
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 80.5¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.50
$-0.55
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 81.6¢·now 81.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.32
$-0.02
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$5.00
$0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother crypto hack over $100m by June 30?$0.22Jun 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$0.14Jun 20, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?$0.15Jun 20, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 63,800 on June 20, 3AM ET?$0.15Jun 20, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?$0.05Jun 20, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 27?$0.35Jun 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?$0.45Jun 20, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?$0.45Jun 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 64,000 on June 20, 2AM ET?$0.15Jun 20, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 21?$0.20Jun 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 2.5$0.35Jun 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5$0.15Jun 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Maanshan: Hiroki Moriya vs Hoyoung Roh$0.45Jun 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.10 on June 19?$0.20Jun 20, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Athletics (-4.5)$0.20Jun 20, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord crypto liquidation in 2026?$0.38Jun 20, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord crypto liquidation in 2026?$0.40Jun 20, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord crypto liquidation in 2026?$0.40Jun 20, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord crypto liquidation in 2026?$0.40Jun 20, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord crypto liquidation in 2026?$0.40Jun 20, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.