Miserly-Innovation
0xac8fcd246ffbd0b44a4b674a761ebcb3da243bc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$225.96
Total PnL
$15.32
Realised
$9.59
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$19.05
$16.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.05
$0.85
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
300 shares @ 0.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.80
$6.00
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
318 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.17
$3.62
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.80
$3.80
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
429 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.79
$2.36
- YES
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
127 shares @ 2.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.58
$3.08
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
285 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.56
$3.56
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
572 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.58
$1.14
- YES
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.16
$2.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.15Jun 11, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?$0.09Jun 11, 15:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?$0.78Jun 8, 08:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.89Jun 6, 12:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 05:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.