Honorable-Defeat
0xacd468196b50248509834a7bca8e3044cb3ea98c
Quality score
80/100
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-361.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2545 shares @ 55.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.6K
$165.46
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
1094 shares @ 77.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$847.55
$-2.45
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$770.00
$20.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1157 shares @ 59.1¢·now 43.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$505.56
$-178.19
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
503 shares @ 59.7¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$387.20
$87.20
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
903 shares @ 35.3¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$306.94
$-12.06
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.14
$12.14
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 26.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.00
$-248.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.50
$-205.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0118h ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- YIELD$0.0110d ago
- YIELD$0.0111d ago
- YIELD$0.0112d ago
- YIELD$0.0113d ago
- YIELD$0.0114d ago
- YIELD$0.0115d ago
- YIELD$0.0116d ago
- YIELD$0.0117d ago
- YIELD$0.0118d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$319.0018d ago
- YIELD$0.0119d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $282.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 39d ago
- Last active
- 18h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.