Honorable-Defeat
0xacd468196b50248509834a7bca8e3044cb3ea98c
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$-416.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3494 shares @ 55.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.8K
$-87.36
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12302 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$-38.73
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1157 shares @ 59.1¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$341.83
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
1094 shares @ 77.7¢·now 78.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$853.02
$3.02
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$795.00
$45.00
- YES
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
2049 shares @ 26.3¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$409.84
$-128.16
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
503 shares @ 59.7¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$379.66
$79.66
- NO
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
903 shares @ 35.3¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$302.43
$-16.57
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13636 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$265.91
$-34.09
- ILIA TOPURIA
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
327 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$263.36
$-1.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$163.65Jun 12, 19:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$266.51Jun 10, 13:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.80Jun 8, 15:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$411.00Jun 5, 19:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$984.85Jun 3, 07:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 30, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $185.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.