Jaded-Windchime
0xad287cbd7db82d684a5066515c7ee624df111601
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.2K
Total PnL
$-27.1K
Realised
$-3.3K
Win rate
67%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
7178 shares @ 60.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.2K
$-163.94
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2829 shares @ 48.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.8K
$1.4K
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?
1791 shares @ 76.6¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$68.92
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
1759 shares @ 42.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.0K
$278.29
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
795 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$787.03
$167.26
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
600 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$594.30
$48.30
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
600 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$543.00
$39.00
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1800 shares @ 1.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$476.10
$448.49
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
685 shares @ 39.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$431.75
$164.58
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5661 shares @ 4.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$421.73
$171.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$189.60Jun 13, 08:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.42Jun 11, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17.60Jun 11, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.88Jun 11, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$434.09Jun 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17.42Jun 11, 04:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$2.90Jun 6, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$2.90Jun 6, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$2.90Jun 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$2.90Jun 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$2.90Jun 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$9.72Jun 6, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $64.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.