Fabulous-Machine
0xadfcb5808e5461eb128165c4346b11d13bbe5c18
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.64
Total PnL
$-3.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.57
$0.57
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
1 shares @ 81.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 90.9¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.97
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?$0.30Mar 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$0.56Mar 21, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st?$0.00Mar 21, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$0.00Mar 21, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$0.00Mar 21, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$0.00Mar 21, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMInternet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?$1.03Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMInternet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?$1.11Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$1.27Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.74Mar 21, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 4, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.00Mar 3, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$1.00Mar 3, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$1.00Mar 3, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$1.31Mar 3, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran nuclear test before 2027?$1.27Mar 3, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$1.00Mar 2, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.01Mar 2, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.