Gray-Sitar
0xae1f0226a91aaeee2ce1b898979bd2bbea2704f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$127.92
Total PnL
$-25.16
Realised
$-11.42
Win rate
27%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
ECB rate hike in 2026?
23 shares @ 77.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.83
$3.76
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?
26 shares @ 62.5¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.89
$0.64
- NO
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
44 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$13.84
$-0.22
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?
13 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.23
$-0.13
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
13 shares @ 69.2¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.85
$-0.03
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
27 shares @ 30.8¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.23
$-0.23
- NO
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
19 shares @ 43.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$7.98
$-0.18
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
18 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
18 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.27
$-0.09
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.24
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$7.54May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$7.40May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$7.36May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$8.22May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?$9.36May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?$9.46May 18, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?$8.16May 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$8.99May 18, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?$10.82May 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?$16.49May 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$14.44May 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$2.45May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.63May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$2.16May 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$2.30May 17, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$6.92May 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$2.77May 17, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$2.57May 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$2.34May 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$2.64May 16, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".