Neat-Billboard
0xae5e20c5af666b0390bba4eac3cff38799814046
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.50
Total PnL
$-776.92
Realised
$-18.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
786 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.32
$-45.68
- YES
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.2¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Catherine Connolly win by 5–10%?
1249 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-370.00
- YES
Will turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
360 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?
318 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
288 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
246 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win by 5–10%?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
28 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$277.79May 26, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$2.18May 23, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$0.76May 23, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$43.01May 23, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$5.17May 23, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$5.16May 23, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$16.34May 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$37.11May 23, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$2.08May 22, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.91May 22, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.00May 20, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.51May 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$126.20May 13, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$10.40May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$100.16May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$103.05May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00Apr 23, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 23, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janet Horner win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$10.00Apr 22, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$25.63Mar 19, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $32.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.