0xae6b0b7d65c516bb052d42687007d05be68151f6
0xae6b0b7d65c516bb052d42687007d05be68151f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$103.07
Total PnL
$19.65
Realised
$21.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$24.60
$4.69
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
114 shares @ 17.4¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.32
$0.42
- YES
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$11.90
$6.90
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
41 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.33
$-0.62
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
36 shares @ 27.3¢·now 24.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.91
$-1.04
- YES
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.67
$-2.28
- YES
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.53
$0.53
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.24
$-0.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?$5.10May 16, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$5.10May 16, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$5.13May 16, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$5.12May 16, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$5.14May 16, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 15?$13.51May 16, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 11:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.00May 14, 08:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.16May 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.21May 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$5.17May 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 15?$5.16May 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 13, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$5.09May 13, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$14.21May 13, 05:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".