Discrete-Witchhunt
0xaeb5deb25cdb710b5d68ce42103b4f6dceb650ae
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.91
Total PnL
$-157.56
Realised
$-15.15
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 1?
1179 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.59
$-1.41
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.05
$-0.73
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?
1753 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.53
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 13?
1016 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.78
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?
978 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
663 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.78
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 14?
480 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 1?$0.895h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 1?$0.118h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 1?$1.048h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?$0.818h ago
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1.9117h ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.621d ago
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 30?$1.562d ago
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?$1.052d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.573d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.153d ago
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17?$0.004d ago
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 27?$1.004d ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$3.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?$0.184d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?$0.254d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?$0.254d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?$0.254d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?$0.074d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.004d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".