Weird-School
0xaed2040f2e8ef33767d473cfad14c36f963e7e0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.23
Total PnL
$-3.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 21.9¢·now 22.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-01?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02May 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.02May 14, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.71May 14, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$2.11May 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 24, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.77Apr 22, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-01?$1.00Apr 1, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Mar 31, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Mar 31, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.00Mar 31, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Mar 31, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".