Official-Intention
0xaf2b87d711b844019ae2b797a3f87e73ccce0728
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
152
Open notional
$552.40
Total PnL
$-411.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
6000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$108.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$82.25
$3.25
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 15.4¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$76.25
$-0.75
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.00
$0.00
- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$58.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$43.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.40
$-0.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$17.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.50
$6.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.821m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.601m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.041m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.601m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.221m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.601m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.601m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.601m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.631m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.131m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.451m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.031m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.241m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.101m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.101m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.743m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.663m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.043m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.763m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.263m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18m ago
- Last active
- 1m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".