Trustworthy-Entry
0xaf382113f7694abba8dc3f2dafcd71756c6bc045
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$36.02
Total PnL
$-346.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
16 shares @ 44.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$-1.75
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- 70K
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 76.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: SINQU vs Project 91 (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season$0.88May 17, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?$1.04May 17, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.11May 17, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.37May 17, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.08May 17, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMIstanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Hanyu Guo$2.08May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?$4.76May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWuxi: Akira Santillan vs Coleman Wong$5.88May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.00May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoax" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$1.04May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Crazy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$1.06May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Patreon" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$1.09May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Abortion" in Des Moines?$1.11May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?$1.14May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Job" in Des Moines?$1.15May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trump" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$1.16May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$1.19May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Fight" in Des Moines?$1.22May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "China" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?$1.25May 10, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMJiujiang: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Mei Yamaguchi$1.79May 10, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.