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0xaf599737c55061fc707c0ba486ca82b8c39ec3c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$9.70
Total PnL
$-49.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
40 shares @ 45.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
4 shares @ 49.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.00
$2.01
- YES
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.71
$-9.29
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
21 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" on The Late Show on December 10?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
15 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$2.04May 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$2.00Apr 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.04Apr 11, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$4.20Feb 28, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Feb 9, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$0.00Jan 28, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$0.00Jan 28, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$9.09Jan 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$18.00Jan 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabon win on 2025-12-28?$1.00Dec 28, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$10.00Dec 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$1.00Dec 16, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$5.21Dec 16, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.00Dec 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$2.00Dec 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$5.00Dec 12, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Dec 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" on The Late Show on December 10?$3.00Dec 10, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$5.00Dec 10, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$1.00Dec 10, 22:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".