Scornful-Schoolhouse
0xaf96df3e4c75cec13bee8923dadc1c6aff5d9009
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$75.70
Total PnL
$-10.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
11 shares @ 93.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$8.51
$-1.46
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$5.89
$-0.11
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.83
$2.83
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 89.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.57
$0.57
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$4.68
$-0.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$8.00Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$10.06Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$10.02Jun 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$3.00Jun 10, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$2.00Jun 10, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 10, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$5.03Jun 10, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.01Jun 10, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$5.02Jun 9, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.06Jun 9, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.15Jun 9, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.03Jun 9, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5.23Jun 9, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00Jun 9, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMServices Down Parlay$0.00Jun 9, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMServices Down Parlay$5.00Jun 9, 06:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.