Tidy-Diagram
0xafa3c6d2874ed195092c452825270c6405dac3dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$41.40
Total PnL
$-372.17
Realised
$4.91
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
48 shares @ 69.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.08
$-17.04
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
71 shares @ 58.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$10.29
$-30.89
- YES
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.50
$-48.50
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.80
$0.80
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.72
$0.48
- NO
Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
142 shares @ 93.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-133.38
- NO
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
100 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
70 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.32
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
68 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-19.04
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?$3.00May 22, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ivica Zubac lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$3.69May 22, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.42May 22, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$8.00May 22, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$22.00May 22, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?$35.00May 22, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$54.00May 22, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$114.00May 22, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$312.00May 22, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$160.95Feb 8, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$93.94Feb 8, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$25.01Feb 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$269.62Feb 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$22.24Jan 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$24.88Jan 11, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$2.20Jan 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$278.08Jan 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$53.01Jan 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$38.40Jan 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$67.19Jan 11, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $83.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 22:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.