Fearful-Massage
0xafe203aea61b2df4ff3b6c759f4c0da491aab686
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$474.28
Total PnL
$-10.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1583 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$182.00
$-134.33
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?
54 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 12, 2026$53.70
$13.90
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?
65 shares @ 61.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$41.43
$1.63
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?
59 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$39.20
$-0.59
- NO
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?
60 shares @ 66.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$38.89
$-0.90
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
89 shares @ 16.8¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$35.60
$20.64
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
24 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.31
$-0.36
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.87
$0.97
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
19 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.49
$-0.29
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.73
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026?$40.322h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?$40.428h ago
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$22.679h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$40.2010h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?$39.8019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$16.781d ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$20.121d ago
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$20.261d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$11.741d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.181d ago
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$398.383d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$99.9238d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.9K38d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$500.0039d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$25.5039d ago
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$324.0039d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.0039d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$13.7039d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$158.0039d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.2539d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $148.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 43d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
